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Both teams suffered desperately disappointing Champions Trophy tournaments - England were well beaten by Pakistan in the semi-finals while South Africa failed to get out of the group.
It could well be that both are feeling a little sorry for themselves so a new broom in terms of personnel is wise.
But that doesn't make this an easy series to call. Form is rendered almost irrelevant because of the turnover.
So it is a mystery as to how England can be priced up as short as 1.74. South Africa are 2.34 and we would advise betting on them considering there is no evidence such a gulf exists.
As we said, Tahir has the x-factor and an inexperienced England team could struggle against him. The Saffers could also add Tabraiz Shamsi to the mix.
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