Ed Hawkins previews game two from Adelaide early on Tuesday and hopes India have not mentally checked out after losing the opening contest… cricket betting tips
Australia v India
Tuesday 15 January 03.20
Live on BT Sport
Australia have a surprise 1-0 lead after taking game one at the SCG. This despite resting their three star bowlers – Josh Hazlewood, Mitch Starc and Pat Cummins – and revamping their batting as if it was 1999.cricket betting tips
The Aussies have rejected the modern trend for big hitters to go for a more sensible approach by picking the likes of Usman Khawaja and Peter Handscomb. And either side of Shaun Marsh’s 70-ball 54, both hit half-centuries of their own. Handscomb’s was the more eye-catching, striking at a rate of 119 which suggests he’s a trend setter (if it actually was 1999).
Still, the 288 they posted was hardly a stiff target in these high-scoring times. Particularly against a Indian team who are gun chasers. But the game was up with Shikhar Dhawan, Virat Kohli and Ambati Rayudu, three of India’s top four, back in the hutch after contributing just three runs between them.
Reverse swing, something Australia couldn’t find in the Tests, is being credited for the success. Jason Behrendorff and Jhye Richardson did the damage with two and four wickets apiece up front. Given Australia’s desperate run in this format – this was only their third win in 15 – they will surely pick the same XI.
India came into this series with aspirations of winning the World Cup next summer. One defeat, of course, does not change that but it is about time they stopped playing fast and loose with their competitive spirit when it comes to the shorter formats.
It was the same in the T20s at the start of the series. They swaggered in as if they owned the joint, twirling bats, chewing gum and complacency oozing from every pore because Australia were stinking the place out. And they got found out by an opposition who wanted to work harder.
We suspect the same happened at the SCG. There was nothing wrong with India’s bowling – there wasn’t in the T20s – but the batters don’t like it up ’em, so to speak. Only Rohit Sharma showed the stomach for a fight with a brilliant ton. As for MS Dhoni’s fifty, well, at least he knuckled down. But it took way too long and was an innings from a man who is chuntering, rather than raging, against the dying of the light.
Here are the last ten first-innings scores in day-night matches at Adelaide (1-2 denotes match won by side batting first or second, most recent first: 231-1/196-2/369-1/213-2/237-2/275-1/300-1/217-1/170-2/231-1. That is an average of 244. It’s a pretty fair wicket, then, and with no toss bias involved this should be a good contest between bat and ball.
Australia are 2.36 to make it 2-0 with India 1.72. The market seems unconvinced that game one represents a changing of the guard with only two ticks added to the touring team’s price.
Of course, having been vocal about betting India before a ball was bowled it would be odd to suddenly change our minds. Hopefully it was the wake-up call they required.
There is a nagging doubt in our mind about the record of ODI teams in having won a Test series that preceded but the formbook is so strong in favour of India that we have to have courage of conviction. Simply, India have superior players. They just need to match the hosts’ attitude.
Perhaps they don’t want to be there in some sort of bizarre show of solidarity with KL Rahul and Hardik Pandya who have been sent home for expressing infantile views. Ambati Rayudu being called for a dodgy action won’t help.
Alex Carey top scored for Australia on their last day-night visit to Adelaide. But he was batting down at No 5 in a seven-run win over South Africa. This time he will open with Aaron Finch and he looked in reasonable form. Playing on his home ground should give him confidence, too. The 7/2 on the Sportsbook is not the worst price in the world about him top scoring for the hosts. Handscomb, a winner last time, is 6s.
On pure numbers, as explained here, Rohit should be jolly for top India runscorer. He’s not with Kohli getting the nod at 5/2. Rohit is 13/5 and it’s a fair bet given what he did last time out. Dhawan is 7/2 and in reality it’s between these three with them dominating this market in recent times.
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